Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      48 27 396 252 -0.020 37.206    1  0.159    1  0.132    1  0.206    1 0.5345   16  0.494    6  0.203    4  0.208   24 -0.208
BREWERS      45 26 381 263 -0.002 35.783    2  0.151    2  0.128    2  0.190    2 0.5334   19  0.409    9  0.112    2  0.269   11  0.080
BRAVES       46 27 366 266 -0.017 36.406    3  0.135    3  0.121    4  0.143    3 0.5303    9  0.594    4  0.234   14  0.053   28 -0.300
YANKEES      45 27 380 258 -0.025 35.642    4  0.117    4  0.112    3  0.173    4 0.5267   24  0.348   14  0.043    1  0.303    2  0.300
RAYS         41 30 315 310  0.022 36.642    5  0.057    5  0.082    6  0.032    5 0.5188   21  0.396   19 -0.058    9  0.121   10  0.108
CARDINALS    40 32 326 315 -0.003 36.473    6  0.023    6  0.053    8  0.014    6 0.5134   15  0.510   15  0.025   17  0.002   17 -0.044
PHILLIES     40 34 304 322  0.002 37.665    7  0.014    7  0.040   16 -0.018    7 0.5125   29  0.234   29 -0.240    5  0.204    3  0.283
GUARDIANS    39 35 294 303  0.020 38.199    8  0.011    8  0.035   14 -0.002   10 0.5061   20  0.401   22 -0.087   10  0.083   25 -0.213
NATIONALS    39 36 407 392  0.034 39.055    9  0.011    9  0.034    5  0.039    8 0.5100    3  0.780    1  0.314   27 -0.236    8  0.180
WHITE SOX    38 34 340 343  0.004 36.666   10  0.008   10  0.028    9  0.014   11 0.5058    4  0.737    2  0.244   25 -0.217   30 -0.306
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DIAMONDBACKS 38 36 312 331  0.007 37.812   11  0.002   11  0.016   15 -0.017   14 0.5038   13  0.535   16  0.017   20 -0.052   23 -0.206
CUBS         39 36 344 335 -0.018 37.536   12  0.000   12  0.013   13  0.001    9 0.5068    7  0.632    8  0.127   22 -0.126   20 -0.172
MARLINS      37 38 324 329  0.036 39.167   13 -0.001   13  0.009   11  0.006   13 0.5042   12  0.541   13  0.047   19 -0.035   26 -0.218
PADRES       38 35 280 289 -0.033 36.145   14 -0.002   14  0.008   19 -0.030   15 0.5029   27  0.303   25 -0.197    7  0.138   21 -0.173
PIRATES      38 37 379 365 -0.008 37.816   15 -0.003   15  0.004    7  0.014   12 0.5046   11  0.543   10  0.057   18 -0.028    7  0.228
BLUE JAYS    36 38 302 316  0.030 38.472   16 -0.005   16 -0.001   12  0.002   16 0.4979   28  0.238   28 -0.218    3  0.221    6  0.245
MARINERS     38 37 317 297 -0.035 37.036   17 -0.007   17 -0.007   10  0.010   17 0.4977   23  0.352   24 -0.117    8  0.137   18 -0.067
ATHLETICS    36 38 340 391  0.001 37.705   18 -0.011   18 -0.012   25 -0.061   18 0.4965   26  0.336   26 -0.201   11  0.079    1  0.715
RANGERS      35 38 289 295 -0.021 36.480   19 -0.016   19 -0.028   18 -0.020   19 0.4919   22  0.390   23 -0.115   12  0.074   27 -0.276
ORIOLES      35 40 349 382  0.001 38.178   20 -0.019   20 -0.032   21 -0.042   21 0.4903    6  0.685    7  0.136   26 -0.221   12  0.052
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         35 38 311 363 -0.039 36.026   21 -0.020   21 -0.035   29 -0.089   20 0.4918   10  0.589   17 -0.003   23 -0.175   14 -0.025
TWINS        35 40 354 384 -0.017 37.627   22 -0.022   22 -0.039   22 -0.046   24 0.4873    2  0.785    3  0.234   29 -0.327   19 -0.099
ASTROS       35 41 344 385 -0.025 37.939   23 -0.029   23 -0.049   28 -0.075   25 0.4846    8  0.631   11  0.051   24 -0.201   13  0.043
METS         33 41 300 317 -0.012 37.299   24 -0.036   24 -0.058   23 -0.048   23 0.4874   30  0.205   30 -0.293    6  0.197    5  0.248
GIANTS       31 43 310 359  0.048 39.140   25 -0.039   25 -0.059   27 -0.070   22 0.4889   14  0.516   18 -0.052   21 -0.088   15 -0.040
RED SOX      29 42 279 291  0.016 36.557   26 -0.065   26 -0.080   17 -0.020   26 0.4782   18  0.425   21 -0.084   15  0.044   22 -0.192
ROYALS       30 45 301 352  0.013 38.593   27 -0.087   27 -0.094   26 -0.069   28 0.4742   25  0.345   27 -0.201   13  0.063    9  0.132
ANGELS       30 45 334 373  0.011 38.533   28 -0.088   28 -0.094   24 -0.059   27 0.4770    1  0.792    5  0.229   30 -0.346   29 -0.305
TIGERS       30 44 301 311 -0.019 37.063   29 -0.095   29 -0.099   20 -0.030   29 0.4734   17  0.438   20 -0.082   16  0.022   16 -0.041
ROCKIES      28 47 344 434  0.009 38.543   30 -0.144   30 -0.123   30 -0.136   30 0.4729    5  0.691   12  0.048   28 -0.321    4  0.269

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      48 27 396 252 -0.020 37.206    1  0.159    1  0.132    1  0.206    1 0.5345   16  0.494    6  0.203    4  0.208   24 -0.208
DIAMONDBACKS 38 36 312 331  0.007 37.812   11  0.002   11  0.016   15 -0.017   14 0.5038   13  0.535   16  0.017   20 -0.052   23 -0.206
PADRES       38 35 280 289 -0.033 36.145   14 -0.002   14  0.008   19 -0.030   15 0.5029   27  0.303   25 -0.197    7  0.138   21 -0.173
GIANTS       31 43 310 359  0.048 39.140   25 -0.039   25 -0.059   27 -0.070   22 0.4889   14  0.516   18 -0.052   21 -0.088   15 -0.040
ROCKIES      28 47 344 434  0.009 38.543   30 -0.144   30 -0.123   30 -0.136   30 0.4729    5  0.691   12  0.048   28 -0.321    4  0.269

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      45 26 381 263 -0.002 35.783    2  0.151    2  0.128    2  0.190    2 0.5334   19  0.409    9  0.112    2  0.269   11  0.080
CARDINALS    40 32 326 315 -0.003 36.473    6  0.023    6  0.053    8  0.014    6 0.5134   15  0.510   15  0.025   17  0.002   17 -0.044
CUBS         39 36 344 335 -0.018 37.536   12  0.000   12  0.013   13  0.001    9 0.5068    7  0.632    8  0.127   22 -0.126   20 -0.172
PIRATES      38 37 379 365 -0.008 37.816   15 -0.003   15  0.004    7  0.014   12 0.5046   11  0.543   10  0.057   18 -0.028    7  0.228
REDS         35 38 311 363 -0.039 36.026   21 -0.020   21 -0.035   29 -0.089   20 0.4918   10  0.589   17 -0.003   23 -0.175   14 -0.025

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       46 27 366 266 -0.017 36.406    3  0.135    3  0.121    4  0.143    3 0.5303    9  0.594    4  0.234   14  0.053   28 -0.300
PHILLIES     40 34 304 322  0.002 37.665    7  0.014    7  0.040   16 -0.018    7 0.5125   29  0.234   29 -0.240    5  0.204    3  0.283
NATIONALS    39 36 407 392  0.034 39.055    9  0.011    9  0.034    5  0.039    8 0.5100    3  0.780    1  0.314   27 -0.236    8  0.180
MARLINS      37 38 324 329  0.036 39.167   13 -0.001   13  0.009   11  0.006   13 0.5042   12  0.541   13  0.047   19 -0.035   26 -0.218
METS         33 41 300 317 -0.012 37.299   24 -0.036   24 -0.058   23 -0.048   23 0.4874   30  0.205   30 -0.293    6  0.197    5  0.248

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     38 37 317 297 -0.035 37.036   17 -0.007   17 -0.007   10  0.010   17 0.4977   23  0.352   24 -0.117    8  0.137   18 -0.067
ATHLETICS    36 38 340 391  0.001 37.705   18 -0.011   18 -0.012   25 -0.061   18 0.4965   26  0.336   26 -0.201   11  0.079    1  0.715
RANGERS      35 38 289 295 -0.021 36.480   19 -0.016   19 -0.028   18 -0.020   19 0.4919   22  0.390   23 -0.115   12  0.074   27 -0.276
ASTROS       35 41 344 385 -0.025 37.939   23 -0.029   23 -0.049   28 -0.075   25 0.4846    8  0.631   11  0.051   24 -0.201   13  0.043
ANGELS       30 45 334 373  0.011 38.533   28 -0.088   28 -0.094   24 -0.059   27 0.4770    1  0.792    5  0.229   30 -0.346   29 -0.305

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    39 35 294 303  0.020 38.199    8  0.011    8  0.035   14 -0.002   10 0.5061   20  0.401   22 -0.087   10  0.083   25 -0.213
WHITE SOX    38 34 340 343  0.004 36.666   10  0.008   10  0.028    9  0.014   11 0.5058    4  0.737    2  0.244   25 -0.217   30 -0.306
TWINS        35 40 354 384 -0.017 37.627   22 -0.022   22 -0.039   22 -0.046   24 0.4873    2  0.785    3  0.234   29 -0.327   19 -0.099
ROYALS       30 45 301 352  0.013 38.593   27 -0.087   27 -0.094   26 -0.069   28 0.4742   25  0.345   27 -0.201   13  0.063    9  0.132
TIGERS       30 44 301 311 -0.019 37.063   29 -0.095   29 -0.099   20 -0.030   29 0.4734   17  0.438   20 -0.082   16  0.022   16 -0.041

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      45 27 380 258 -0.025 35.642    4  0.117    4  0.112    3  0.173    4 0.5267   24  0.348   14  0.043    1  0.303    2  0.300
RAYS         41 30 315 310  0.022 36.642    5  0.057    5  0.082    6  0.032    5 0.5188   21  0.396   19 -0.058    9  0.121   10  0.108
BLUE JAYS    36 38 302 316  0.030 38.472   16 -0.005   16 -0.001   12  0.002   16 0.4979   28  0.238   28 -0.218    3  0.221    6  0.245
ORIOLES      35 40 349 382  0.001 38.178   20 -0.019   20 -0.032   21 -0.042   21 0.4903    6  0.685    7  0.136   26 -0.221   12  0.052
RED SOX      29 42 279 291  0.016 36.557   26 -0.065   26 -0.080   17 -0.020   26 0.4782   18  0.425   21 -0.084   15  0.044   22 -0.192

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    186 177 0.512    1  0.058
NL CENTRAL 197 169 0.538    2  0.052
NL EAST    195 176 0.526    3  0.048
NL WEST    183 188 0.493    4 -0.022
AL CENTRAL 172 198 0.465    5 -0.054
AL WEST    174 199 0.466    6 -0.082

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.052 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Thu Jun 18 05:30:06 2026
games through: Wed Jun 17 2026

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